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The Black Swan
The Black Swan
Oct 25, 2024 11:20 AM

Author:Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The Black Swan

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

Reviews

A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected

—— Guardian

Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling

—— Financial Times

It has altered modern thinking

—— The Times

Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot

—— Sunday Times

The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works

—— Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow

Great fun... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling

—— Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of Freakonomics

The most prophetic voice of all

—— GQ

Accessible and enlightening ... It's not Greenberg's way to preach; he's happier letting the facts speak for themselves

—— Observer

Required reading for anyone who eats seafood ...Greenberg is an unfailingly entertaining writer, and his book arms you with the information you need to make intelligent choices when you are confronted by the ... offerings at the fish counter

—— Atlantic

Lucid, readable ... a story well told

—— Charles Clover , Sunday Times

An elegantly composed and strikingly level-headed inquiry into our relationship with the fish we eat and the waters that sustain them

—— Tom Fort , Sunday Telegraph

A powerful case for action ... combining on-the-ground and on-the-ocean reporting from the Yukon to Greece, from the waters off New England to the Mekong Delta, along with accounts of some stirring fishing trips, Greenberg makes a powerful argument ... marvellous exploration of that contradiction, a necessary book for anyone interested in what we take from the sea to eat, and how, and why

—— Sam Sifton , Scotsman

Oren Harman's outstanding new biography of the American scientist George Price makes the case that Price's theoretical contributions to biology are among the most important of the twentieth century...Price was undoubtedly an opaque figure; Harman has approached his life with sensitivity and intelligence, providing a clearer window into this troubled mind

—— Tom Bailey , TLS

Moving biography exploring a geneticst's understanding of human selflessness

—— The Times

An energetic tale that presents not only the science but the history and politics which produced it

—— Islington Tribune
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